Hurricane Lee Severe Weather Advisory

ATLANTIC PUBLIC/MARINE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MESSAGES
ISSUED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS


WTNT34 KNHC 240854
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lee Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017
500 AM AST Sun Sep 24 2017

...LEE CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 50.1W
ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1370 MI...2210 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located
near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 50.1 West. Lee is currently
drifting southward, and a slow southeastward motion is expected to
begin later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 36 to 48 hours and Lee could be near major hurricane
strength on Monday.

Lee is a small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky


WTNT24 KNHC 240854
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 50.1W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 50.1W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 50.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.6N 49.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.1N 48.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.6N 48.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.2N 49.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.5N 51.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 32.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 34.5N 51.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 50.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


WTNT35 KNHC 240856
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
500 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER FINDS THAT MARIA IS SLIGHTLY WEAKER...
...INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 72.7W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the Carolina and Mid-Atlantic coasts should monitor
the progress of Maria. Tropical storm or hurricane watches may be
needed for a portion of the coast later today.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Maria was located
near latitude 27.9 North, longitude 72.7 West. Maria is moving
toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the
core of Maria will be moving well east of the United States
southeast coast during the next two days.

Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds are now near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts.
Maria is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next
day or so.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles
(390 km). During the past several hours, NOAA buoy 41047 located
to the east of the center reported sustained winds of 68 mph
(109 km/h) and a wind gust of 85 mph (137 km/h).

The minimum central pressure reported by the NOAA Hurricane Hunter
is 948 mb (28.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Maria are increasing along portions of
the southeastern United States coast and Bermuda and will be
increasing along the Mid-Atlantic coast later today. Swells also
continue to affect Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern
coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office for more information.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven


WTNT25 KNHC 240855
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 72.7W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 240SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 72.7W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 72.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.9N 72.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N 73.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.2N 73.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.1N 73.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N 72.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 36.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 72.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


FKNT24 KNHC 240855
TCANT4

HURRICANE LEE ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20170924/0900Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: LEE
NR: 025
PSN: N3148 W05006
MOV: S 01KT
C: 0983HPA
MAX WIND: 075KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 241500 N3140 W04946
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 080KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 242100 N3128 W04925
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 090KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 250300 N3113 W04904
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 095KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 250900 N3058 W04852
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 095KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20170924/1500Z

$$


FKNT24 KNHC 240624
TCANT4

HURRICANE LEE SPECIAL ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0630 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20170924/0630Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: LEE
NR: 024
PSN: N3154 W05006
MOV: STNRY
C: 0987HPA
MAX WIND: 065KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 240900 N3151 W05003
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 070KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 241500 N3143 W04951
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 080KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 242100 N3134 W04933
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 085KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 250300 N3121 W04916
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 085KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20170924/0900Z

$$


FKNT25 KNHC 240856
TCANT5

HURRICANE MARIA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20170924/0900Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: MARIA
NR: 033
PSN: N2754 W07242
MOV: N 08KT
C: 0948HPA
MAX WIND: 095KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 241500 N2834 W07246
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 095KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 242100 N2912 W07251
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 095KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 250300 N2948 W07257
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 095KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 250900 N3022 W07301
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 095KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20170924/1500Z

$$

END OF REPORT
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